Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Large and In charge: Banksters and Goverment Planners

The Room For Debate blog at the New York Times website had five contributors provide their views on bank reform. I thought almost writers made worthwhile points.

The exception among them was ex-investor banker and government shill Doug Elliot. According to Elliot, "It’s true that the financial industry is winning some of the fights, but we will still see a substantially safer financial system at the end of the day." According to Elliot, we should all move along and concern ourselves with more important matters like the NFL playoffs or MTV's Jersey Shore, because the honest politicians and brave bankers will wrestle out the weighty issues far beyond the grasp of mere mortal citizens, and will develop winning, if slightly compromised, reform. For some strange reason, the image of of a steaming pile of bovine fecal matter comes to mind.

Yves Smith, author of the popular economics blog Naked Capitalism, quickly reveals Elliot's spin for what it is, flat out wrong. The bankers and politicians, in fact, are not on opposite sides at all, but working hand in hand:

As for Congress, follow the money. Here’s an example: Representative Melissa Bean, a Democrat from Illinois, received more than 92 percent of her campaign contributions from January 2005 through December 2007 from outside her district. She has also received more money from the financial services, real estate and insurance industry than any other member of the House Financial Services Committee.

Ms. Bean last week proposed an amendment that nearly derailed the reform bill, to reduce the ability of states to impose regulations on financial services firms that were tougher than federal rules, which would shift more to bank-friendly regulators like the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Illinois’ own Attorney General Lisa Madigan has criticized Ms. Bean’s amendment, pointing out that the Federal government has frequently blocked state reform efforts. Is Representative Bean really serving the interests of her constituents, or those of her donors?
The reform we will see, if left to politicians and bankers, will be simple and easily bypassed window dressing to the house of cards known as our financial system, and Megan McArdle calls attention to the obvious reason why:

Bankers have too much power in the Treasury department and at the Fed. They’ve convinced the government to cut them the sort of “heads-I-win, tails-you-lose” deals usually associated with third world oligarchies.

William K. Black, a former federal financial regulator, and author of the book "The Best Way to Rob a Bank is to Own One," provides the historical context:

Finance C.E.O.s extortion gutted accounting rules to avoid recognizing loan losses so that they could continue to receive tens of billions of dollars in bonuses based on fictional numbers. Frederic Bastiat (“The Law,” 1850) got this aspect right:

When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it.


The last six administrations (from Carter on) pushed the financial deregulation that caused recurrent, intensifying crises. The financial sector is a parasite, growing from 2 percent of corporate profits to 40 percent. This massive profit growth exported jobs, maximized income inequality, and caused the Great Recession.

Five bank holding companies control 50 percent of all bank assets. The finance industry is the leading political contributor. When the Supreme Court strikes down limits on corporate campaign contributions, the industry’s power will increase.

Professor James Galbraith’s and Thomas Frank’s books, “The Predator State” and “The Wrecking Crew,” show what happens when “fat cat bankers” and their sycophants run the state. To end the plunder we must break the systemically dangerous institutions’ power and the culture of fraud and impunity that supports it. This is sound economics, criminology, law, political science and ethics — and Americans support this policy.
The financial services industry is riddled with corruption - widespread, institutionalized, blatant, even celebrated corruption. While at one time even the most hardcore free-marketers framed the concept of self-interest in terms of ethical and social behavior, what we see today is better termed unenlightened self interest. Black's use of the term "parasite" to describe the financial industry is wholly appropriate.

Edward Harrison of Global Macro Advisors and Credit Writedowns, however, is the only contributor in the series that gets to the heart of the matter. As parasitic as the financial sector is, it owes its existence to its hosts, the Federal Reserve and government, both of whom have continued to feed and support its growth:

In truth, the events that led up to systemic failure were not unforeseen. Moreover, the financial meltdown was not merely a liquidity crisis. Rather, we have experienced a solvency crisis that should be seen as both predictable and ongoing.

Since this crisis was predicted by so many as a result of reckless lending because of abnormally low interest rates and a lack of regulatory oversight, any reforms must address these two problems. The Federal Reserve’s failings are central here. Had the Federal Reserve exercised its regulatory function, it could have prevented predatory, risky loans made at the height of the housing bubble in both residential and corporate real estate. Moreover, the Federal Reserve held the Fed Funds interest rate at 1 percent for too long and raised rates much too slowly, sowing the seeds of excessive speculation.

The sins of the Federal Reserve are numerous, which is why I support Ron Paul's effort to Audit the Fed, but its greatest harm to the economy has been to create a system-wide dependence on cheap and easy credit. All the bubbles that busted - personal credit, home mortgages, commercial real-estate development, derivatives investments, corporate leveraged buyouts, and so forth - were the result of market forces responding to artificially cheap and expanding money, propping up an illusion of prosperity.

Alan Greenspan, chief architect of cheep money during his time at the helm of the Federal Reserve,admitted on The Daily Show (score one for fake news) that a free market is incompatible with a central authority that arbitrarily sets interest rates:

(starting at 2:23 of the video)

Jon Stewart: Many people are free-market capitalists, and they always talk about free-market capitalism, and that is our economic theory. So why do we have a Fed? Is the free market – wouldn’t the market take care of interest rates and all that? Why do we have someone adjusting the rates if we are a free-market society?

Alan Greenspan: You’re raising a very fundamental question. … You didn’t need central bank when we were on the gold standard, which was back in the nineteenth century. And all of the automatic things occurred because people would buy and sell gold, and the market would do what the Fed does now. But: most everybody in the world by the 1930s decided that the gold standard was strangling the economy. And universally this gold standard was abandoned. But: you need somebody to determine –or some mechanism – how much money is out there, because remember, the amount of money relates to the amount of inflation in the economy. … In any event the more money you have, relative to the amount of goods, the more inflation you have, and that’s not good. So:

Stewart: So we’re not a free market then.

Greenspan: No. No.

Stewart: There’s a visible – there’s a benevolent hand that touches us.

Greenspan: Absolutely. You’re quite correct. To the extent that there is a central bank governing the amount of money in the system, that is not a free market. Most people call it regulation.

Stewart goes on to eviscerate the illusion of a free market, and while Greenspan somewhat defends the Federal Reserve's role of lessening financial uncertainty, even he comes to the inevitable admission of every central planner or centrally planned economy:

(starting at 6:45 of the video)

If I could figure out a way to determine whether or not people are more fearful or changing to more euphoric, and have a third way of figuring out which of the two things are working, I don’t need any of this other stuff. I could forecast the economy better than any way I know... The trouble is that we can’t figure that out. I’ve been in the forecasting business for 50 years. … I’m no better than I ever was, and nobody else is. Forecasting 50 years ago was as good or as bad as it is today. And the reason is that human nature hasn’t changed. We can’t improve ourselves.
So returning to the subject of reform, the point is that it is important to reform the role of the fed and government while also looking at ways to reduce the parasitic grip of the financial sector. It is a matter of national security to ensure that no bank is deemed "too big to fail," but a greater imperative is to reform the Fed and the Government's ability to artificially expand credit, and as a result, the illusion of prosperity.

10 comments:

Pete said...

Reform is good if it's for the welfare of the majority of people not just those in the government. Thanks for sharing a very interesting issue here. Good luck on all your ventures.

Professor J A Donis said...

I disagree, Pete.

Lumbee said...

Reform is good if it gets government out of the way. Jose is right, true free market system has never been tried.

Justus Hommes said...

A "true" free market system is just as elusive as a "true" communist system. As nice as they sound in theory, they go against human nature. Just as the pigs in Animal Farm show that those with more power in a communist system will inevitably determine that some individuals should be "more equal than others," those with more money in a capitalist system will inevitably determine that some markets should be more free than others.

Professor J A Donis said...

"those with more money in a capitalist system will inevitably determine that some markets should be more free than others."

Please explain how exactly will they do that.

Justus Hommes said...

Look at how the oil and diamond markets, controlled by cartels, attempt to distort pricing and demand by restricting supply.

Human nature is pretty simple in this regard. People seek power and money, and those that have it will do whatever they can to protect their power and money, even if that means crushing competition and distorting the market by unethical or unjust means.

It shouldn't be a surprise that most of our politicians are bankers and attorneys that go from enriching/empowering/defending/protecting/advising/enabling the financial and corporate elite in private capacities to doing the same exact things in the name of public service.

Professor J A Donis said...

"Look at how the oil and diamond markets, controlled by cartels, attempt to distort pricing and demand by restricting supply."

These cartels you mentioned can only control supply and distort pricing because their very own governments allow them to, and in some cases, the government actually helps these cartels. In capitalism, the government has no power to help in distorting prices and restricting supply, therefore, the market controls supply and prices.

You also said: "even if that means crushing competition."
There is nothing wrong with crushing one's competition.

You also said: "People seek power and money, and those that have it will do whatever they can to protect their power and money."
There is nothing wrong with seeking power and money. And there is nothing wrong with doing whatever one can to protect their power and money so long as they do not infringe upon someone else's rights. At the very moment one violates another's rights, then the government will step in and protect those who have been violated. That's how capitalism works. In a mixed economy (which is what we have) the government usually protects what is in their best financial interest--that is, who pays me more to stay in power. And taken to an extreme, that is called fascism. Now take a guess what exactly is going to happen with this Health Reform bill. Guess who is going to receive BILLIONS of taxpayer dollars? Tell me who exactly is going to come out winning in this so-called reform. Answer me that, and you will have figured out how these cartels have distorted prices and supply.

Please show me a single example in which a true capitalist state exists without government controls or regulations. (Here is a clue: you won't find one example because it does not exist today.)

Justus Hommes said...

For such a reason and science based guy, you sure put a lot of faith in an economic system that not only doesn't exist today, but has never existed.

Not only has pure capitalism never been tried, but pure communism has never been tried either.

And my point is that neither pure economic systems can exist. If you don't understand this, you don't understand basic human nature.

You can't have an untainted market when a small percentage of people, who also participate in the market, make the rules for the market. Those with the power will protect their interests. I am surprised you don't see this, especially with all your talk of greed and personal self-interest. As few rules as you may want, someone still has to define when a person's rights have been violated.

To think that the market is the only thing that controls supply and prices is absurdly naive, even if you take government out of the equation.

For example, say you own a bookstore that is profitable, and your supply meets the market demand, and the market price allows you to make a decent profit. This is your ideal capitalist environment. Now, I open a bookstore across the street, but I decide to sell my books not only below your "market" rate, but for cheaper than it costs either of us to buy the books from the publishers. I have a lot more money in my bank account than you, and I am willing to sell books at a loss until you go out of business. While in the long-run the market pricing must reflect supply and demand, in the intermediate, prices can be distorted quite significantly, and without any government intervention or breaking of individual rights.

Don't get me wrong, I am a strong proponent of more open markets myself, but the only thing more ingrained in human nature than competition (see Cain & Abel) is unfair competition, and to ignore the human element when advocating a Utopian economic system is reckless, whether we are talking about "pure" capitalism or socialism.

Professor J A Donis said...

With all due respect, I cannot discuss this matter with you anymore, Justus, because you are not aware of:

a) when exactly capitalism was actually practiced in this country (and there was a time when it was), and
b) the theoretical (and hence, practical) dangers of communism, as opposed to capitalism.

As for your bookstore example, please see the history of the ALCOA company and the reasons why they are an outstanding monopoly. The company was able to keep prices very low as if there were competition from all places, and they were still able to make huge profits. In addition, you will go broke well before you attempt to avert any market prices below its costs. Sadly to say, this is an elementary fact that you can't seem to grasp, but any 10-year-old can. It's insulting to my intelligence so I beg you please stop making these aberrations you call legitimate examples.

As for individual rights, you have the right to get into any market you wish, set prices at any level you please, and go broke (or rich) trying to distort all the prices. If you go rich, all others will follow suit and make money too. If you go broke, all others will laugh you out of the business and make money. Either way, the market wins. Let's see how long you last with putting your "bookstore" into business. I'll even help you as an investor just to prove my point.

In essence, we disagree.

How about those Colts?

Justus Hommes said...

Fine, discussion ended. But you seem to be the one with a less than 10 year old's understanding of economics. My theoretical scenario can be backed up hundreds of real world examples, and is a strategy employed by most companies. There are even economic terms that most 10 year olds have heard of, including "loss leader", and lo and behold it can happen even in books:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/oct/23/books-price-war-regulators

Look, I would venture to say that we are 90% in agreement when it comes to open markets and competition. I also agree in the dangers of communism. Still, when something doesn't fit into black/white definitions or human behavior fails to match theory, I can't just reject it or pretend it doesn't exist. Loss leaders and price wars may be irrational, but that doesn't mean that they don't happen.

Please note that I focus on the short run, as market pricing can be distorted only for so long, but these price wars can change both the competitive landscape as well as the marketplace.

On the positive side, one can look to Sony, which sold its PS3 and Blue-Ray players at a loss in large part to win the format war over Toshiba and HD-DVD, which it did successfully. The market now has an industry standard and we can buy a player knowing it will be used in the future.

I would actually be very interested having you remove my ignorance concerning America's golden age of capitalism. Please help me out with that one.

And as far as Alcoa, in addition to entrepreneurship, technology, and integration, which are all wonderful things, it is pretty obvious to most that have studied the company in-depth that the company's dominance resulted in large part from public policy as well as vital patent and tariff protection. Lest you call me crazy for believing such things, please see pp. 95 & 139-140 of "From Monopoly to Competition: The Transformations of Alcoa, 1888-1986" by George David Smith:

http://books.google.com/books?id=qF6jpiU1yi0C&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_v2_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q=&f=false

Colts and Saints are both stumbling into the playoffs, they better get it together!