Update - Having read the comments to my original post, as well as doing more thinking and research, I have changed my views slightly. First, the individual mandate may be too extreme. A better alternative may be to give credits to households that qualify for government assistance that could be used to buy catastrophic coverage in the private market. Second, my desire to create a national market for health insurance would be two-fold, to make insurance portable for people moving or purchasing across state lines, and to allow greater competition at a lower regulatory burden for insurance companies. The ideas of individual mandates and national insurance markets are attractive on many functional levels, but I certainly wouldn't want to proceed in an unconstitutional manner. Aside from changing my first three point, which were certainly the most controversial of the bunch, and tweaking a few words here and there, I still thing these actions would be in the right step of moving people into a new era of viewing health care as a budgeted expenditure, and empowering them to make better individual decisions on the private market.OK, I have been backed into a corner and will go ahead and outline my basic ideas for health care reform. These are by no means original to me, I have just collected/plagiarized/adapted them from elsewhere. I will perhaps provide links to sources and statistics as requested, but I wanted to get this out there. To respond to the most recent criticisms leveled against me, I think you will see that I am not placing my trust in government for so large an enterprise as health care. I am asking for government to create a framework and get the heck out of the way so people and the private sector can take responsibility for their own health without the current set of government created problems.
The extent to which I am seeking government involvement is as follows:
1. Eliminate the restrictions on the interstate sale of health insurance. This is a removal of burdensome regulation. Encourage states to adopt a common set of standards for a basic level of catastrophic insurance that would be portable and could be purchased from any qualified insurance company.
2. Replace 50 sets of regulation with a single set. Encourage states to adopt common regulatory standards. Drastically reducing and untangling existing regulations can not really be seen as "additional" regulation, unless you mean addition (of value) through subtraction (of quantity).
The goals of items 1 & 2 would be a much cleaner and clearer framework for a national insurance market. Repealing state laws and regulations that currently prevent insurance companies from competing across state lines would result in a lower regulatory burden, increased market opportunities (good for insurers) and increased competition (good for consumers). If not dramatically lowering costs, it would likely stabilize costs while increasing options. (Side note - As I understand it, the Ryan plan does not address this issue.)
3. Once a national market is in place, mandate encourage the purchase of "Basic" catastrophic health insurance plans that all insurers could sell as a commodity and/or loss leader for purchasers of additional coverage.
This would (ideally) be a portable, stand alone line of coverage, and one could switch at any time to another carrier offering a better deal, but everyone would be required to have this basic coverage. PLEASE NOTE - I am not talking about health care coverage in the sense of paying for physicals, flu shots, and your typical medical expenses. This is insurance to cover the risk of an unanticipated medical event (severe trauma, emergency surgery, stroke, organ failure, stroke, cancer, coma, etc.) that would, without adequate coverage, likely lead to destroyed life savings, massive debt, and/or bankruptcy. Most Americans would carry multiple layers of coverage, with the “basic” level being mandated, and any additional layers remaining optional. (An imperfect analogy would be car insurance, where liability coverage is mandated, and GAP, uninsured motorist, comprehensive, and others are commonly purchased additional options)
As to what gets deemed catastrophic, I share JB's concern (in the comments of the previous post) that elected/lobbied politicians would be all to meddle to the point that everything could be viewed as potentially catastrophic, so keeping the scope of any mandated coverage limited to managing the risk of personal/household catastrophe is important. The idea is to treat catastrophic coverage as a math problem, targeting the premium payment on a percentage (around 5%) of personal/household income, and providing coverage for health costs above a defined percent (15-25%) of annual personal/household income.
Do I wish there was another way? Certainly. But, as researchers, think tanks and policy makers across the political spectrum have learned (although they refuse to agree on it), a mandate of some basic form of coverage seems to be the only way to reduce “free rider” or “wait until sick to purchase” abuses.
4. Either eliminate (my preference) all tax breaks/deductions that deal with health care and health insurance, or make the tax treatment and incentives the same for all, individuals and employers.
5. Allow employers and individuals to form their own risk pools as they see fit (business networks, church congregations, Facebook groups, neighborhoods, whatever).
6. For all “extended” health insurance, repeal government mandates regarding what insurance companies must cover. Allow market variety and competition to determine what level or premiums and co-payments people are willing to pay for routine and planned medical care.
We are now talking not only about “basic” insurance coverage, but also all the “extended” health insurance, discount plans, prescription plans and health benefits that everyone should be allowed to choose and purchase on the private market. We know that currently employer health benefits are fully tax deductible, but individual health insurance is not. Not only is this unfair, it creates a burden on both employers (administration, tax prep) and employees (health benefits often overriding other job concerns). Employers can continue to offer “extended” health perks as benefits, but would not have to remain the dominant source through which they are made available or affordable. People should be free to associate in any manner they wish in order to better negotiate for themselves.
7. Mandate that health care providers have pricing for all basic services and procedures in plain sight and available upon request.
8. Encourage Health Spending Accounts (HSAs) that allow people greater freedom to make their own decisions on health care.
Put the price mechanism back into the health care market! This is perhaps the greatest sign that the current health care market is completely broken. People, especially those without “extended’ health coverage, are smart enough to make better decisions on quality and cost. It is incredible to think how much less Americans would spend on health care if they only had the choice, yet so few actually know the itemized or total cost of their last doctor's visit. Hint, it was A LOT more than anyone’s co-payment.
9. Enact serious Medicare and Medicaid reform and/or dismantlement.
10. Provide a safety net to this new system for those that can not afford it.
It is my position that if steps 1-8 were in place, several things would happen naturally as a result of human choice and market forces. First, the current level of health care spending by Americans would stabilize/decline as a much greater level purchasing decisions (of both coverage planes and health care services) would be placed in their hands to self-ration based on need, value, and return on investment. Second, the cost of services and insurance coverage will stabilize/decline. Giving individuals the ability to shop online for the doctor in town with the lowest prices (#7), and among insurance companies from across the country with the best rates (#1&2) enhances competition and choices.
Restoring basic functions such as supply and demand and price competition to the heath care industry are critical not only because our society will benefit from fewer bankruptcies (currently over 50% of bankruptcies are prompted by medical costs), increased access to care and lower costs of those services, but because we need to avoid the coming apocalypse of insolvency for Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security.
Estimates range widely, but just using middle of the road numbers, current spending on Medicare, Medicaid and SCHIP is about $700B. To get to JB’s statistic of the US Government paying for over 50% ($1.2T) of all US health care expenditures ($2.4T), you have to add the active duty military Medical Corps and the Veterans Administration, along with a few other smaller programs. An important purpose of any meaningful health care reform should be reduce the government’s overall expenditures. Logic dictates that if everyone in America had “basic” catastrophic coverage, purchased in the private market, that private insurance would cover a much greater percentage of higher cost health care than it does today, reducing the government’s role as payer of last (or first) resort. And with a more prominent role for HSAs, individuals could also purchase a greater share of routine health care on a more open, price-sensitive, market.
Still, there are those that can not afford even the “basic” coverage or have much left over to fund a HSA. So how do we get from here to there?
First, I would favor a government plan that subsidizes the purchase of the “basic” catastrophic coverage outlined above for those that can not afford it. Current catastrophic insurance plans run from $1,200 per person to $3,000 per family. Basically, under may plan, any household making less than $60k would be expected to pay 3-5% of their income with the government making up the difference to purchase a plan. Again, using round numbers (and from 2006), there are about 70 million households that make less then $60k, so the government would step in and make up the difference between each of these household’s 3-5% contribution and the amount needed to purchase a “basic” plan. The cost would be a estimated $105 billion dollars. This is not an insignificant amount, but the question is whether this would reduce the government’s current annual outlay by at least the same amount, and hopefully by much more, whether we use the $700B (w/o military and vets) or $1.2T (with both) number. If so, we have achieved a form of universal coverage for a break even cost or better. I don’t have the resources to run definitive numbers, but I find it impossible to believe that is all medical costs above 20% of every household’s personal income were absorbed by the private market, from age 0 to dead, that government expenditure wouldn’t go down at least 15%. I am hopeful the savings would be great enough that a drastic overhaul and/or dismantling of Medicare and Medicaid becomes more politically viable.
Second, in order to promote HSAs, I would like to consider in greater depth a possible government match of HSA contributions for low and middle income households that would function much the same way of a company-matched 401k. Just a thought. I would like to see the cost to benefits numbers on such a program. Whether we are talking a 10% match for everyone up to a certain amount, or a greater (up to 25%?) match for targeted incomes, I would like more research on ways to encourage savings.
Is this welfare and redistribution? Sure, but I dare say it is less welfare, less redistribution, and would be loads more effective than the current patchwork of bloated government programs we are currently wasting money on. Are there other steps that I think can and should be taken? Sure, but I don’t know enough to have a definitive opinion on them, and I think the steps above would be a good first start. That said, I’ll leave you with a couple more suggestions that get thrown around a lot that would likely be worth considering.
11. Encourage a greater number of medical schools and enrollments. (Break up the AMA monopoly?)
12. Look as reform medical malpractice and tort laws. (Negligence should come at a price, but where are the limits?)